Were later-retracted papers accepted faster?
Yes, for some kinds of retraction. We compared 20,471 retracted research papers in PubMed with 150,703 papers from the same journal and year that were not retracted. The median retracted paper went from received to accepted 12.5 days faster than its journal-year norm. The gap comes from papers retracted for peer-review manipulation (27 days faster) and paper mills (18.5 days). Papers retracted for honest error were accepted at the usual pace.
Published 7 October 2026 · Analysis plan fixed 2 October 2026, before any dates were fetched · All figures measured from PubMed · By Erik Jia. Spotted an error? erik@manusights.com
- Retracted papers
- 20,471
- Comparison papers
- 150,703
- Journals
- 1,790
- Published
- 2012 to 2024
- Plan fixed
- 2 October 2026
By retraction reason
Peer-review manipulation
Retracted: 3,626
Median gap, days (95% CI): -27 (-41 to -18)
Faster (95% CI): 79.2% (77.9 to 80.5)
Call: Faster
Paper mill
Retracted: 5,921
Median gap, days (95% CI): -18.5 (-31 to -11.5)
Faster (95% CI): 70.5% (69.4 to 71.7)
Call: Faster
Other or unspecified
Retracted: 3,934
Median gap, days (95% CI): -4 (-8 to -1.5)
Faster (95% CI): 53.7% (52.2 to 55.3)
Call: Faster
Plagiarism or duplication
Retracted: 798
Median gap, days (95% CI): -1.5 (-5.5 to +2)
Faster (95% CI): 51.4% (47.9 to 54.8)
Call: No clear difference
Data or image problems
Retracted: 5,732
Median gap, days (95% CI): +1.5 (-0.5 to +3)
Faster (95% CI): 48.7% (47.4 to 50)
Call: No clear difference
Honest error
Retracted: 460
Median gap, days (95% CI): -1 (-7 to +4)
Faster (95% CI): 50.7% (46.1 to 55.2)
Call: No clear difference
| Group | Retracted | Median gap, days (95% CI) | Faster (95% CI) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer-review manipulation | 3,626 | -27 (-41 to -18) | 79.2% (77.9 to 80.5) | Faster |
| Paper mill | 5,921 | -18.5 (-31 to -11.5) | 70.5% (69.4 to 71.7) | Faster |
| Other or unspecified | 3,934 | -4 (-8 to -1.5) | 53.7% (52.2 to 55.3) | Faster |
| Plagiarism or duplication | 798 | -1.5 (-5.5 to +2) | 51.4% (47.9 to 54.8) | No clear difference |
| Data or image problems | 5,732 | +1.5 (-0.5 to +3) | 48.7% (47.4 to 50) | No clear difference |
| Honest error | 460 | -1 (-7 to +4) | 50.7% (46.1 to 55.2) | No clear difference |
What it means
- 61.5% of retracted papers were accepted faster than the median paper in their journal that year (95% CI 60.9 to 62.2%). With no difference, that share would be 50%.
- Papers retracted for peer-review manipulation were the fastest: 79.2% beat their journal-year median, by a median 27 days. For paper-mill retractions it was 70.5% and 18.5 days.
- Papers retracted for honest error (50.7%), data or image problems (48.7%) and plagiarism or duplication (51.4%) showed no clear difference.
- The gap appears in papers published from 2021. For papers published 2012 to 2019 there was no clear difference (51.1% faster, median -1.5 days).
In other words, acceptance speed does not separate careless science from careful science. It tracks organised manipulation of the review process, the kind behind the mass retractions of 2022 and 2023.
Where the effect lives
The overall figure is pulled up by the journals and years hit hardest by mass retractions. Three checks we fixed in advance show how concentrated it is.
Each journal counted once
Across 1,790 journals, the median journal-level difference was -1.5 days (95% CI -3 to 0). 925 journals leaned faster and 848 slower.
Without Hindawi journals
13,651 retracted papers remain. 54.3% were faster, by a median 5.5 days (95% CI -9 to -2.5).
Without the three largest publishers
7,420 retracted papers remain. 54.1% were faster, by a median 5 days (95% CI -11 to -0.5).
| Check | Result |
|---|---|
| Each journal counted once | Across 1,790 journals, the median journal-level difference was -1.5 days (95% CI -3 to 0). 925 journals leaned faster and 848 slower. |
| Without Hindawi journals | 13,651 retracted papers remain. 54.3% were faster, by a median 5.5 days (95% CI -9 to -2.5). |
| Without the three largest publishers | 7,420 retracted papers remain. 54.1% were faster, by a median 5 days (95% CI -11 to -0.5). |
So the typical journal shows a difference of a day or two. The effect is real outside the largest mass retractions, but it is smaller there. A fast acceptance in an ordinary journal tells you very little about any one paper.
By publication year
Every year from 2021 to 2024 shows retracted papers accepted faster, by a median of 17 to 22.5 days. No year from 2014 to 2020 does.
2012
Retracted: 398
Median gap, days (95% CI): -4 (-9 to +0.8)
Faster (95% CI): 53.8% (48.9 to 58.6)
Call: No clear difference
2013
Retracted: 574
Median gap, days (95% CI): -6 (-11 to -1.5)
Faster (95% CI): 55.4% (51.3 to 59.4)
Call: Faster
2014
Retracted: 716
Median gap, days (95% CI): -4.5 (-11.8 to +1.5)
Faster (95% CI): 54.7% (51.1 to 58.4)
Call: No clear difference
2015
Retracted: 823
Median gap, days (95% CI): -2 (-10 to +1)
Faster (95% CI): 52% (48.6 to 55.4)
Call: No clear difference
2016
Retracted: 775
Median gap, days (95% CI): -4 (-9.5 to +0.5)
Faster (95% CI): 54.2% (50.7 to 57.7)
Call: No clear difference
2017
Retracted: 980
Median gap, days (95% CI): 0 (-4 to +5)
Faster (95% CI): 49.4% (46.3 to 52.5)
Call: No clear difference
2018
Retracted: 1,213
Median gap, days (95% CI): 0 (-5 to +5)
Faster (95% CI): 49.6% (46.8 to 52.4)
Call: No clear difference
2019
Retracted: 1,520
Median gap, days (95% CI): +3.3 (-1 to +6)
Faster (95% CI): 47.1% (44.6 to 49.6)
Call: No clear difference
2020
Retracted: 1,791
Median gap, days (95% CI): -5 (-11.5 to +0.8)
Faster (95% CI): 53.5% (51.2 to 55.8)
Call: No clear difference
2021
Retracted: 2,791
Median gap, days (95% CI): -17 (-32.5 to -7.5)
Faster (95% CI): 64.5% (62.7 to 66.3)
Call: Faster
2022
Retracted: 6,062
Median gap, days (95% CI): -18 (-37 to -10.5)
Faster (95% CI): 72.8% (71.7 to 73.9)
Call: Faster
2023
Retracted: 1,393
Median gap, days (95% CI): -19.5 (-30 to -8.5)
Faster (95% CI): 64.6% (62.1 to 67.1)
Call: Faster
2024
Retracted: 1,435
Median gap, days (95% CI): -22.5 (-34 to -6)
Faster (95% CI): 66.3% (63.8 to 68.7)
Call: Faster
| Group | Retracted | Median gap, days (95% CI) | Faster (95% CI) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 398 | -4 (-9 to +0.8) | 53.8% (48.9 to 58.6) | No clear difference |
| 2013 | 574 | -6 (-11 to -1.5) | 55.4% (51.3 to 59.4) | Faster |
| 2014 | 716 | -4.5 (-11.8 to +1.5) | 54.7% (51.1 to 58.4) | No clear difference |
| 2015 | 823 | -2 (-10 to +1) | 52% (48.6 to 55.4) | No clear difference |
| 2016 | 775 | -4 (-9.5 to +0.5) | 54.2% (50.7 to 57.7) | No clear difference |
| 2017 | 980 | 0 (-4 to +5) | 49.4% (46.3 to 52.5) | No clear difference |
| 2018 | 1,213 | 0 (-5 to +5) | 49.6% (46.8 to 52.4) | No clear difference |
| 2019 | 1,520 | +3.3 (-1 to +6) | 47.1% (44.6 to 49.6) | No clear difference |
| 2020 | 1,791 | -5 (-11.5 to +0.8) | 53.5% (51.2 to 55.8) | No clear difference |
| 2021 | 2,791 | -17 (-32.5 to -7.5) | 64.5% (62.7 to 66.3) | Faster |
| 2022 | 6,062 | -18 (-37 to -10.5) | 72.8% (71.7 to 73.9) | Faster |
| 2023 | 1,393 | -19.5 (-30 to -8.5) | 64.6% (62.1 to 67.1) | Faster |
| 2024 | 1,435 | -22.5 (-34 to -6) | 66.3% (63.8 to 68.7) | Faster |
Robustness checks
We declared seven checks in the plan before seeing any result. Six reach the same call. Restricting to 2012 to 2019 does not, which matches the year table.
Without Hindawi journals
Retracted: 13,651
Median gap, days (95% CI): -5.5 (-9 to -2.5)
Faster (95% CI): 54.3% (53.5 to 55.1)
Call: Faster
Without the three publishers with the most retractions
Retracted: 7,420
Median gap, days (95% CI): -5 (-11 to -0.5)
Faster (95% CI): 54.1% (52.9 to 55.2)
Call: Faster
Only journal-years with 5 or more comparison papers
Retracted: 20,451
Median gap, days (95% CI): -12.5 (-17.5 to -8.5)
Faster (95% CI): 61.6% (60.9 to 62.2)
Call: Faster
Without labelled supplements and special issues
Retracted: 20,457
Median gap, days (95% CI): -12.5 (-17.5 to -8.5)
Faster (95% CI): 61.5% (60.9 to 62.2)
Call: Faster
Without journals whose received date looks like a revision date
Retracted: 20,409
Median gap, days (95% CI): -13 (-17.5 to -8.5)
Faster (95% CI): 61.6% (60.9 to 62.3)
Call: Faster
Only journals that also deposit a revised date
Retracted: 12,386
Median gap, days (95% CI): -16 (-24 to -11)
Faster (95% CI): 66.8% (66 to 67.6)
Call: Faster
Only papers published 2012 to 2019
Retracted: 6,999
Median gap, days (95% CI): -1.5 (-3 to 0)
Faster (95% CI): 51.1% (49.9 to 52.2)
Call: No clear difference
| Group | Retracted | Median gap, days (95% CI) | Faster (95% CI) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Without Hindawi journals | 13,651 | -5.5 (-9 to -2.5) | 54.3% (53.5 to 55.1) | Faster |
| Without the three publishers with the most retractions | 7,420 | -5 (-11 to -0.5) | 54.1% (52.9 to 55.2) | Faster |
| Only journal-years with 5 or more comparison papers | 20,451 | -12.5 (-17.5 to -8.5) | 61.6% (60.9 to 62.2) | Faster |
| Without labelled supplements and special issues | 20,457 | -12.5 (-17.5 to -8.5) | 61.5% (60.9 to 62.2) | Faster |
| Without journals whose received date looks like a revision date | 20,409 | -13 (-17.5 to -8.5) | 61.6% (60.9 to 62.3) | Faster |
| Only journals that also deposit a revised date | 12,386 | -16 (-24 to -11) | 66.8% (66 to 67.6) | Faster |
| Only papers published 2012 to 2019 | 6,999 | -1.5 (-3 to 0) | 51.1% (49.9 to 52.2) | No clear difference |
By publisher
Publisher is the Crossref member that registered each journal's DOIs. We report the 23 publishers with at least 30 retracted papers; 155 smaller groups are left out.
Hindawi Limited
Retracted: 6,822
Median gap, days (95% CI): -20 (-38 to -13)
Faster (95% CI): 76% (75 to 77)
Call: Faster
Elsevier BV
Retracted: 3,173
Median gap, days (95% CI): -3 (-7 to 0)
Faster (95% CI): 52.6% (50.9 to 54.3)
Call: No clear difference
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Retracted: 3,056
Median gap, days (95% CI): -9 (-15 to -4.5)
Faster (95% CI): 56.6% (54.8 to 58.3)
Call: Faster
Wiley
Retracted: 1,775
Median gap, days (95% CI): -16 (-30.8 to +1)
Faster (95% CI): 60.5% (58.2 to 62.7)
Call: No clear difference
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
Retracted: 1,242
Median gap, days (95% CI): -30 (-51.5 to -10)
Faster (95% CI): 65.5% (62.8 to 68.1)
Call: Faster
Spandidos Publications
Retracted: 1,050
Median gap, days (95% CI): +3 (0 to +6)
Faster (95% CI): 46.6% (43.6 to 49.6)
Call: No clear difference
Frontiers Media SA
Retracted: 561
Median gap, days (95% CI): -3 (-12.5 to +7.5)
Faster (95% CI): 51.9% (47.7 to 56)
Call: No clear difference
Informa UK Limited
Retracted: 437
Median gap, days (95% CI): +5 (-5 to +9.5)
Faster (95% CI): 44.9% (40.3 to 49.5)
Call: No clear difference
MDPI AG
Retracted: 426
Median gap, days (95% CI): +0.5 (-1 to +2.5)
Faster (95% CI): 46.5% (41.8 to 51.2)
Call: No clear difference
Portland Press Ltd.
Retracted: 251
Median gap, days (95% CI): -2 (-10 to +10.5)
Faster (95% CI): 51.8% (45.6 to 57.9)
Call: No clear difference
Impact Journals, LLC
Retracted: 197
Median gap, days (95% CI): -6 (-16 to 0)
Faster (95% CI): 54.8% (47.8 to 61.6)
Call: No clear difference
Royal Society of Chemistry (RSC)
Retracted: 195
Median gap, days (95% CI): +3 (-3 to +7.5)
Faster (95% CI): 43.1% (36.3 to 50.1)
Call: No clear difference
S. Karger AG
Retracted: 179
Median gap, days (95% CI): +24 (-18 to +35)
Faster (95% CI): 37.4% (30.7 to 44.7)
Call: No clear difference
Publisher not identified
Retracted: 106
Median gap, days (95% CI): +3 (-3 to +9)
Faster (95% CI): 45.3% (36.1 to 54.8)
Call: No clear difference
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Retracted: 90
Median gap, days (95% CI): -5.8 (-14.5 to +15.8)
Faster (95% CI): 51.1% (41 to 61.2)
Call: No clear difference
American Chemical Society (ACS)
Retracted: 85
Median gap, days (95% CI): +1 (-6 to +10)
Faster (95% CI): 49.4% (39 to 59.8)
Call: No clear difference
SAGE Publications
Retracted: 65
Median gap, days (95% CI): +1 (-42.5 to +25)
Faster (95% CI): 49.2% (37.5 to 61.1)
Call: No clear difference
Bentham Science Publishers Ltd.
Retracted: 39
Median gap, days (95% CI): 0 (-16.5 to +8)
Faster (95% CI): 41% (27.1 to 56.6)
Call: No clear difference
FapUNIFESP (SciELO)
Retracted: 37
Median gap, days (95% CI): -1.5 (-27.8 to +7.5)
Faster (95% CI): 51.4% (35.9 to 66.6)
Call: No clear difference
Walter de Gruyter GmbH
Retracted: 36
Median gap, days (95% CI): -24.8 (-39.5 to +2.3)
Faster (95% CI): 63.9% (47.6 to 77.5)
Call: No clear difference
e-Century Publishing Corporation
Retracted: 36
Median gap, days (95% CI): +2 (-1 to +5)
Faster (95% CI): 44.4% (29.5 to 60.4)
Call: No clear difference
AME Publishing Company
Retracted: 34
Median gap, days (95% CI): -11 (-28.5 to +0.5)
Faster (95% CI): 70.6% (53.8 to 83.2)
Call: No clear difference
American Association for Cancer Research (AACR)
Retracted: 31
Median gap, days (95% CI): +1 (-28.8 to +36.5)
Faster (95% CI): 48.4% (32 to 65.2)
Call: No clear difference
| Publisher | Retracted | Median gap, days (95% CI) | Faster (95% CI) | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hindawi Limited | 6,822 | -20 (-38 to -13) | 76% (75 to 77) | Faster |
| Elsevier BV | 3,173 | -3 (-7 to 0) | 52.6% (50.9 to 54.3) | No clear difference |
| Springer Science and Business Media LLC | 3,056 | -9 (-15 to -4.5) | 56.6% (54.8 to 58.3) | Faster |
| Wiley | 1,775 | -16 (-30.8 to +1) | 60.5% (58.2 to 62.7) | No clear difference |
| Public Library of Science (PLoS) | 1,242 | -30 (-51.5 to -10) | 65.5% (62.8 to 68.1) | Faster |
| Spandidos Publications | 1,050 | +3 (0 to +6) | 46.6% (43.6 to 49.6) | No clear difference |
| Frontiers Media SA | 561 | -3 (-12.5 to +7.5) | 51.9% (47.7 to 56) | No clear difference |
| Informa UK Limited | 437 | +5 (-5 to +9.5) | 44.9% (40.3 to 49.5) | No clear difference |
| MDPI AG | 426 | +0.5 (-1 to +2.5) | 46.5% (41.8 to 51.2) | No clear difference |
| Portland Press Ltd. | 251 | -2 (-10 to +10.5) | 51.8% (45.6 to 57.9) | No clear difference |
| Impact Journals, LLC | 197 | -6 (-16 to 0) | 54.8% (47.8 to 61.6) | No clear difference |
| Royal Society of Chemistry (RSC) | 195 | +3 (-3 to +7.5) | 43.1% (36.3 to 50.1) | No clear difference |
| S. Karger AG | 179 | +24 (-18 to +35) | 37.4% (30.7 to 44.7) | No clear difference |
| Publisher not identified | 106 | +3 (-3 to +9) | 45.3% (36.1 to 54.8) | No clear difference |
| Oxford University Press (OUP) | 90 | -5.8 (-14.5 to +15.8) | 51.1% (41 to 61.2) | No clear difference |
| American Chemical Society (ACS) | 85 | +1 (-6 to +10) | 49.4% (39 to 59.8) | No clear difference |
| SAGE Publications | 65 | +1 (-42.5 to +25) | 49.2% (37.5 to 61.1) | No clear difference |
| Bentham Science Publishers Ltd. | 39 | 0 (-16.5 to +8) | 41% (27.1 to 56.6) | No clear difference |
| FapUNIFESP (SciELO) | 37 | -1.5 (-27.8 to +7.5) | 51.4% (35.9 to 66.6) | No clear difference |
| Walter de Gruyter GmbH | 36 | -24.8 (-39.5 to +2.3) | 63.9% (47.6 to 77.5) | No clear difference |
| e-Century Publishing Corporation | 36 | +2 (-1 to +5) | 44.4% (29.5 to 60.4) | No clear difference |
| AME Publishing Company | 34 | -11 (-28.5 to +0.5) | 70.6% (53.8 to 83.2) | No clear difference |
| American Association for Cancer Research (AACR) | 31 | +1 (-28.8 to +36.5) | 48.4% (32 to 65.2) | No clear difference |
What this does not show
- It does not show that any individual paper was reviewed improperly. The comparison is descriptive, and most quickly accepted papers are never retracted.
- Received and accepted dates are deposited by publishers. Some journals reset the received date when a revision arrives. The checks above that exclude or isolate those journals give the same answer.
- Only papers with both dates in PubMed are included. 4,451 retracted records had no usable received and accepted dates.
- Retracted papers are the ones that were caught. A process that is good at hiding manipulation would not show up here.
- We searched for earlier paper-level studies of this question and found none, but that search was not exhaustive (see prior work).
Method
We enumerated every PubMed record tagged "retracted publication" and published 2011 to 2025 (30,172 records), kept research articles published 2012 to 2024 with one received date and one accepted date, and dropped front matter and intervals outside 1 to 1,825 days. That left 20,483 retracted papers.
For each journal and publication year containing a retracted paper, we drew a uniform random sample of non-retracted research articles from the same journal and year, up to 10 per retracted paper, checked against the same rules. We examined 182,006 candidate records and kept 150,703. 20,471 retracted papers had at least one comparison paper.
Each retracted paper's interval was compared with the median interval of its comparison papers. Confidence intervals for medians come from 10,000 bootstrap resamples of journal-years, so papers from the same journal and year move together. Shares use Wilson intervals. The plan fixed the decision rule in advance: "faster" only if the interval for the median difference lies entirely below zero and the lower bound of the share faster is above 50%.
A second script recomputed the headline and the Hindawi-excluded figures independently from the frozen inputs and matched them. One change was made during the run: the downloader was set to retry an intermittent PubMed error, which changed no analytic choice. No language model was used in the analysis.
Prior work
Earlier studies looked at parts of this question. None compared retracted and non-retracted papers within the same journal and year across PubMed.
- Mascato Fontaíña and colleagues described 142 journals that retracted paper-mill papers, including their editorial times (Research Integrity and Peer Review, 2025). Their comparison is at the journal level.
- Sevryugina and Jimenez measured peer-review time in 1,292 retracted chemistry papers (ACS Omega, 2023), and Abo-Elnour and colleagues did the same for 590 retracted pediatrics papers (European Journal of Pediatrics, 2025). Neither had non-retracted comparison papers.
- Christos Petrou compared special-issue and regular papers at Hindawi, and publishing-speed trends at Frontiers and PLOS (The Scholarly Kitchen, 2025).
Data sources
Retracted-publication records, received and accepted dates, journal and year
Retraction Watch Database, via Crossref
Retraction reasons
Publisher (Crossref member) for each DOI prefix
| Source | Used for |
|---|---|
| PubMed (NCBI E-utilities) | Retracted-publication records, received and accepted dates, journal and year |
| Retraction Watch Database, via Crossref | Retraction reasons |
| Crossref REST API | Publisher (Crossref member) for each DOI prefix |
The downloads carry every number on this page, with both kinds of confidence interval, under CC BY 4.0. They contain aggregates only. No paper, author, editor or journal is listed.
Questions
Were retracted papers accepted faster than other papers?
On average, yes. Across 20,471 retracted research papers in PubMed published 2012 to 2024, the median retracted paper was accepted 12.5 days faster than the median paper in the same journal and year, and 61.5% were faster than that median. The gap comes from papers retracted for peer-review manipulation and paper-mill activity.
Does a fast acceptance mean a paper is unreliable?
No. Papers retracted for honest error, data or image problems, or plagiarism were accepted at the usual pace, and across 1,790 journals the typical journal showed a difference of only 1.5 days. Most fast papers are never retracted. Speed is a pattern in organised manipulation, not a test for an individual paper.
Which retractions show the biggest speed gap?
Papers retracted for peer-review manipulation were accepted a median 27 days faster than their journal-year median, and 79.2% were faster. Papers retracted for paper-mill activity were 18.5 days faster, and 70.5% were faster.
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